Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.001045 1.192219e-03 0.001342 0.001505 0.001677 0.001851 0.002042
2025-03-23 0.000864 1.078350e-03 0.001304 0.001556 0.001830 0.002115 0.002432
2025-03-30 0.000693 9.515030e-04 0.001234 0.001561 0.001923 0.002307 0.002743
2025-04-06 0.000575 8.686393e-04 0.001202 0.001598 0.002045 0.002528 0.003082
2025-04-13 0.000499 8.253859e-04 0.001209 0.001673 0.002207 0.002790 0.003465
2025-04-20 0.000366 6.970064e-04 0.001104 0.001613 0.002209 0.002871 0.003646
2025-04-27 0.000254 5.780907e-04 0.001000 0.001544 0.002195 0.002928 0.003796
2025-05-04 0.000208 5.418168e-04 0.000994 0.001589 0.002312 0.003132 0.004109
2025-05-11 0.000130 4.427342e-04 0.000898 0.001518 0.002285 0.003167 0.004228
2025-05-18 0.000066 3.445268e-04 0.000792 0.001426 0.002228 0.003163 0.004299
2025-05-25 0.000033 2.865298e-04 0.000735 0.001393 0.002239 0.003236 0.004456
2025-06-01 0.000008 2.201968e-04 0.000657 0.001325 0.002204 0.003252 0.004543
2025-06-08 NaN 1.643534e-04 0.000599 0.001299 0.002242 0.003381 0.004797
2025-06-15 NaN 1.435225e-04 0.000597 0.001353 0.002385 0.003641 0.005208
2025-06-22 NaN 1.097307e-04 0.000565 0.001362 0.002470 0.003830 0.005540
2025-06-29 NaN 8.905803e-05 0.000554 0.001400 0.002592 0.004068 0.005930
2025-07-06 NaN 7.999567e-05 0.000566 0.001472 0.002761 0.004363 0.006389
2025-07-13 NaN 4.366050e-05 0.000498 0.001417 0.002757 0.004442 0.006591
2025-07-20 NaN 1.690030e-05 0.000430 0.001353 0.002736 0.004499 0.006763
2025-07-27 NaN 1.099467e-05 0.000428 0.001396 0.002863 0.004740 0.007156
2025-08-03 NaN 4.543081e-07 0.000364 0.001329 0.002833 0.004780 0.007306
2025-08-10 NaN NaN 0.000296 0.001243 0.002771 0.004778 0.007400
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.000260 0.001212 0.002785 0.004871 0.007610